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DKSH Holding AG (0QQE.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$107.61 - $228.98$152.96
Multi-Stage$153.94 - $168.71$161.19
Blended Fair Value$157.07
Current Price$61.60
Upside154.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.96%7.51%2.242.142.051.951.901.851.654.501.301.15
YoY Growth--4.66%4.80%5.05%2.59%2.74%12.12%-63.34%245.98%13.10%5.65%
Dividend Yield--3.33%3.67%2.91%2.59%2.85%3.51%2.43%5.27%1.86%1.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)385.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)298.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)86.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)77.0448.1528.89
Cash Retained (M)86.5086.5086.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-77.04-48.15-28.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.4638.3557.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)65.1165.1165.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.590.88
LTM Dividend per Share4.594.594.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.590.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.735.185.47
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate1.96%2.96%3.96%
Fair Value$107.61$152.96$228.98
Upside / Downside74.69%148.31%271.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)385.20396.61408.36420.46432.92445.74459.11
Payout Ratio77.54%80.04%82.53%85.02%87.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)298.70317.43337.01357.46378.84401.17424.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate1.96%2.96%3.96%
Year 1 PV (M)295.31298.20301.10
Year 2 PV (M)291.67297.42303.22
Year 3 PV (M)287.81296.37305.09
Year 4 PV (M)283.77295.06306.69
Year 5 PV (M)279.55293.53308.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,584.359,013.659,459.95
Equity Value (M)10,022.4610,494.2310,984.12
Shares Outstanding (M)65.1165.1165.11
Fair Value$153.94$161.19$168.71
Upside / Downside149.90%161.67%173.88%

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