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naturenergie holding AG (0QOH.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$258.38 - $1,227.58$566.14
Multi-Stage$173.58 - $190.21$181.74
Blended Fair Value$373.94
Current Price$41.77
Upside795.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.28%0.00%0.860.830.680.710.670.850.930.921.440.16
YoY Growth--4.01%21.24%-3.83%6.33%-21.35%-9.06%1.98%-36.34%781.48%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.06%1.83%1.53%2.72%2.21%3.22%4.21%4.06%6.46%0.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)206.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)150.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.2425.7815.47
Cash Retained (M)150.30150.30150.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.24-25.78-15.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)109.06124.53134.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.0933.0933.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.303.764.08
LTM Dividend per Share1.691.691.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.303.764.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.995.455.76
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate4.47%5.47%6.47%
Fair Value$258.38$566.14$1,227.58
Upside / Downside518.58%1,255.38%2,838.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)206.20217.49229.39241.95255.19269.16277.24
Payout Ratio27.11%39.69%52.27%64.84%77.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.9086.32119.89156.89197.58242.25256.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate4.47%5.47%6.47%
Year 1 PV (M)80.2981.0681.82
Year 2 PV (M)103.73105.73107.74
Year 3 PV (M)126.26129.92133.65
Year 4 PV (M)147.89153.64159.55
Year 5 PV (M)168.67176.90185.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,116.235,365.825,625.05
Equity Value (M)5,743.066,013.056,293.26
Shares Outstanding (M)33.0933.0933.09
Fair Value$173.58$181.74$190.21
Upside / Downside315.55%335.09%355.36%

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