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H&R Block, Inc. (0HOB.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Personal Products & ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.15 - $60.73$49.84
Multi-Stage$57.62 - $63.17$60.35
Blended Fair Value$55.09
Current Price$50.57
Upside8.95%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.75%-1.08%1.471.341.321.391.451.521.531.491.391.50
YoY Growth--9.76%1.04%-4.59%-4.40%-4.78%-0.29%2.49%7.14%-7.23%-8.31%
Dividend Yield--2.90%2.10%3.07%3.26%5.80%10.50%5.52%5.92%4.56%6.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)612.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)202.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)409.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)122.5176.5745.94
Cash Retained (M)409.65409.65409.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-122.51-76.57-45.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)287.14333.08363.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)134.51134.51134.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.132.482.70
LTM Dividend per Share1.511.511.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.132.482.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.643.984.21
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.02%1.02%2.02%
Fair Value$40.15$49.84$60.73
Upside / Downside-20.61%-1.44%20.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)612.53618.79625.11631.50637.96644.48663.81
Payout Ratio33.12%44.50%55.87%67.25%78.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)202.89275.35349.27424.68501.59580.03614.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.02%1.02%2.02%
Year 1 PV (M)249.89252.39254.89
Year 2 PV (M)287.67293.45299.29
Year 3 PV (M)317.43327.05336.86
Year 4 PV (M)340.25354.07368.29
Year 5 PV (M)357.08375.29394.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,198.896,515.036,843.93
Equity Value (M)7,751.218,117.278,497.49
Shares Outstanding (M)134.51134.51134.51
Fair Value$57.62$60.35$63.17
Upside / Downside13.95%19.33%24.92%

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