DDM Analysis: CGAS.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$21.62 - $32.93	$26.92
Multi-Stage	$46.75 - $51.37	$49.02
Blended Fair Value	$37.97
Current Price	$91.00
Upside	-58.28%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	1.25	3.39	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-63.10%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.49%	3.53%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,331.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,331.72

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	866.34	541.47	324.88
Cash Retained (M)	1,331.72	1,331.72	1,331.72
(-) Cash Required (M)	-866.34	-541.47	-324.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)	465.38	790.26	1,006.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,771.46	1,771.46	1,771.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.26	0.45	0.57
LTM Dividend per Share	1.69	1.69	1.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.26	0.45	0.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.96	2.14	2.26
WACC / Discount Rate	6.87%	6.87%	6.87%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$21.62	$26.92	$32.93
Upside / Downside	-76.24%	-70.42%	-63.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,331.72	4,288.40	4,245.52	4,203.06	4,161.03	4,119.42	4,243.01
Payout Ratio	69.26%	73.41%	77.55%	81.70%	85.85%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,000.00	3,147.91	3,292.57	3,434.01	3,572.30	3,707.48	3,924.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.87%	6.87%	6.87%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,915.85	2,945.61	2,975.36
Year 2 PV (M)	2,825.01	2,882.96	2,941.50
Year 3 PV (M)	2,729.17	2,813.57	2,899.70
Year 4 PV (M)	2,629.78	2,738.78	2,851.12
Year 5 PV (M)	2,528.10	2,659.74	2,796.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)	69,189.12	72,791.95	76,543.34
Equity Value (M)	82,817.04	86,832.61	91,007.83
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,771.46	1,771.46	1,771.46
Fair Value	$46.75	$49.02	$51.37
Upside / Downside	-48.63%	-46.13%	-43.54%

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3600.HK	Modern Dental Group Limited	6.03%	$0.32	34.31%
003460.KS	Yuhwa Securities co.,ltd.	6.02%	$162.45	83.00%
298540.KQ	The Nature Holdings Co., Ltd.	6.02%	$521.44	76.58%
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NZX.NZ	NZX Limited	6.02%	$0.09	77.46%
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5209.KL	Gas Malaysia Berhad	6.01%	$0.26	82.61%
ALLAN.PA	Lanson-BCC	6.01%	$1.96	26.09%
QAMC.QA	Qatar Aluminium Manufacturing Company Q.P.S.C.	6.00%	$0.10	74.36%
0237.HK	Safety Godown Company, Limited	5.99%	$0.12	71.07%
8986.T	Daiwa Securities Living Investment Corporation	5.99%	$6,829.90	63.32%
ASX.AX	ASX Limited	5.99%	$3.08	67.16%
MKP.TO	MCAN Mortgage Corporation	5.99%	$1.35	74.01%
0QMU.L	Compagnie Financière Richemont S.A.	5.98%	$6.91	67.79%
8924.TWO	O-TA Precision Industry Co., Ltd.	5.98%	$4.29	80.38%
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HUMAN.BK	Humanica Public Company Limited	5.98%	$0.30	74.76%
603368.SS	Guangxi LiuYao Group Co., Ltd	5.97%	$1.06	53.83%
6069.HK	SY Holdings Group Limited	5.97%	$0.67	97.72%
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PXT.TO	Parex Resources Inc.	5.97%	$1.12	86.22%
SB	Safe Bulkers, Inc.	5.97%	$0.29	64.01%
1562.KL	Sports Toto Berhad	5.96%	$0.08	49.23%
8442.TW	WW Holding Inc.	5.96%	$4.19	72.79%
NTV.BK	Nonthavej Hospital Public Company Limited	5.96%	$1.37	66.11%
WLE.AX	WAM Leaders Limited	5.96%	$0.08	8.04%
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PWO.DE	PWO AG	5.95%	$1.75	48.89%
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Citra Nusantara Gemilang Tbk. (CGAS.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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