DDM Analysis: WEIR.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$16.40 - $24.35	$20.19
Multi-Stage	$29.30 - $32.19	$30.71
Blended Fair Value	$25.45
Current Price	$24.90
Upside	2.22%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-3.89%	-0.29%	0.38	0.37	0.26	0.11	0.00	0.47	0.31	0.29	0.18	0.36
YoY Growth	-	-	4.07%	43.78%	123.83%	0.00%	-100.00%	52.89%	7.28%	62.01%	-51.28%	-8.47%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.76%	1.95%	1.54%	0.67%	0.00%	3.11%	2.36%	1.35%	0.93%	3.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	526.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	202.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)	323.70

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	105.32	65.83	39.50
Cash Retained (M)	323.70	323.70	323.70
(-) Cash Required (M)	-105.32	-65.83	-39.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)	218.38	257.88	284.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	259.45	259.45	259.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	0.99	1.10
LTM Dividend per Share	0.78	0.78	0.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.84	0.99	1.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.62	1.78	1.88
WACC / Discount Rate	8.01%	8.01%	8.01%
Growth Rate	-1.73%	-0.73%	0.27%
Fair Value	$16.40	$20.19	$24.35
Upside / Downside	-34.16%	-18.92%	-2.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	526.60	522.77	518.97	515.20	511.45	507.74	522.97
Payout Ratio	38.53%	48.82%	59.12%	69.41%	79.71%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	202.90	255.24	306.81	357.61	407.66	456.96	483.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.01%	8.01%	8.01%
Growth Rate	-1.73%	-0.73%	0.27%
Year 1 PV (M)	233.94	236.32	238.70
Year 2 PV (M)	257.74	263.01	268.33
Year 3 PV (M)	275.35	283.84	292.50
Year 4 PV (M)	287.69	299.58	311.83
Year 5 PV (M)	295.57	310.92	326.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)	6,250.74	6,575.31	6,913.22
Equity Value (M)	7,601.02	7,968.97	8,351.49
Shares Outstanding (M)	259.45	259.45	259.45
Fair Value	$29.30	$30.71	$32.19
Upside / Downside	17.66%	23.35%	29.27%

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The Weir Group PLC (WEIR.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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