DDM Analysis: OTB.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.09 - $4.01	$2.86
Multi-Stage	$1.75 - $1.91	$1.83
Blended Fair Value	$2.34
Current Price	$2.22
Upside	5.59%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	13.51%	0.00%	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	226.67%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-43.48%	17.95%	-3.54%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.32%	0.64%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.64%	0.72%	0.46%	0.61%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	21.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)	15.20

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4.32	2.70	1.62
Cash Retained (M)	15.20	15.20	15.20
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4.32	-2.70	-1.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)	10.88	12.50	13.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	167.66	167.66	167.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.07	0.08
LTM Dividend per Share	0.04	0.04	0.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.07	0.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.10	0.11	0.12
WACC / Discount Rate	9.93%	9.93%	9.93%
Growth Rate	4.76%	5.76%	6.76%
Fair Value	$2.09	$2.86	$4.01
Upside / Downside	-6.00%	28.65%	80.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	21.60	22.84	24.16	25.55	27.02	28.58	29.44
Payout Ratio	29.63%	41.70%	53.78%	65.85%	77.93%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6.40	9.53	12.99	16.83	21.06	25.72	27.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.93%	9.93%	9.93%
Growth Rate	4.76%	5.76%	6.76%
Year 1 PV (M)	8.58	8.67	8.75
Year 2 PV (M)	10.55	10.75	10.95
Year 3 PV (M)	12.31	12.66	13.03
Year 4 PV (M)	13.88	14.42	14.97
Year 5 PV (M)	15.28	16.02	16.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)	233.26	244.61	256.39
Equity Value (M)	293.86	307.13	320.89
Shares Outstanding (M)	167.66	167.66	167.66
Fair Value	$1.75	$1.83	$1.91
Upside / Downside	-21.05%	-17.48%	-13.79%

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On the Beach Group plc (OTB.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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