DDM Analysis: GOR.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3.85 - $6.68	$5.07
Multi-Stage	$3.02 - $3.29	$3.15
Blended Fair Value	$4.11
Current Price	$3.27
Upside	25.67%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-13.45%	22.30%	-25.28%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.60%	0.73%	0.69%	1.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	309.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	37.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)	272.14

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	61.93	38.71	23.22
Cash Retained (M)	272.14	272.14	272.14
(-) Cash Required (M)	-61.93	-38.71	-23.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)	210.20	233.43	248.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,087.01	1,087.01	1,087.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.19	0.21	0.23
LTM Dividend per Share	0.03	0.03	0.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.19	0.21	0.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.23	0.25	0.26
WACC / Discount Rate	11.74%	11.74%	11.74%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$3.85	$5.07	$6.68
Upside / Downside	17.85%	54.95%	104.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	309.65	329.78	351.22	374.05	398.36	424.25	436.98
Payout Ratio	12.12%	27.69%	43.27%	58.85%	74.42%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	37.52	91.33	151.97	220.11	296.47	381.83	404.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	11.74%	11.74%	11.74%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	80.96	81.73	82.50
Year 2 PV (M)	119.44	121.72	124.01
Year 3 PV (M)	153.37	157.77	162.26
Year 4 PV (M)	183.14	190.18	197.42
Year 5 PV (M)	209.10	219.20	229.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,532.93	2,655.27	2,782.30
Equity Value (M)	3,278.94	3,425.87	3,578.18
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,087.01	1,087.01	1,087.01
Fair Value	$3.02	$3.15	$3.29
Upside / Downside	-7.75%	-3.62%	0.67%

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Gold Road Resources Limited (GOR.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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