DDM Analysis: DEPO.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$117.58 - $179.97	$146.73
Multi-Stage	$251.47 - $276.89	$263.93
Blended Fair Value	$205.33
Current Price	$322.00
Upside	-36.23%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	-31.15%	0.00%	4.00	2.30	7.35	6.13	2.21	25.85	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	73.91%	-68.73%	19.93%	177.59%	-91.45%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.74%	0.61%	1.56%	1.20%	0.37%	4.31%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	88,880.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	28,518.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	60,362.32

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17,776.06	11,110.04	6,666.02
Cash Retained (M)	60,362.32	60,362.32	60,362.32
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17,776.06	-11,110.04	-6,666.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)	42,586.26	49,252.28	53,696.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6,790.00	6,790.00	6,790.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	6.27	7.25	7.91
LTM Dividend per Share	4.20	4.20	4.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	6.27	7.25	7.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend	10.47	11.45	12.11
WACC / Discount Rate	6.73%	6.73%	6.73%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$117.58	$146.73	$179.97
Upside / Downside	-63.48%	-54.43%	-44.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	88,880.32	87,991.52	87,111.60	86,240.49	85,378.08	84,524.30	87,060.03
Payout Ratio	32.09%	43.67%	55.25%	66.83%	78.42%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	28,518.00	38,424.73	48,130.47	57,638.26	66,951.07	76,071.87	80,530.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.73%	6.73%	6.73%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	35,638.82	36,002.48	36,366.14
Year 2 PV (M)	41,404.27	42,253.57	43,111.49
Year 3 PV (M)	45,988.41	47,410.63	48,861.88
Year 4 PV (M)	49,545.89	51,599.33	53,715.96
Year 5 PV (M)	52,213.96	54,932.87	57,763.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,482,679.71	1,559,886.29	1,640,276.14
Equity Value (M)	1,707,471.07	1,792,085.17	1,880,095.47
Shares Outstanding (M)	6,790.00	6,790.00	6,790.00
Fair Value	$251.47	$263.93	$276.89
Upside / Downside	-21.90%	-18.03%	-14.01%

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PT Caturkarda Depo Bangunan Tbk (DEPO.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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