Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Caturkarda Depo Bangunan Tbk (DEPO.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Home ImprovementSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$117.58 - $179.97$146.73
Multi-Stage$251.47 - $276.89$263.93
Blended Fair Value$205.33
Current Price$322.00
Upside-36.23%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS-31.15%0.00%4.002.307.356.132.2125.850.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--73.91%-68.73%19.93%177.59%-91.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.74%0.61%1.56%1.20%0.37%4.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)88,880.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28,518.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)60,362.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,776.0611,110.046,666.02
Cash Retained (M)60,362.3260,362.3260,362.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,776.06-11,110.04-6,666.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)42,586.2649,252.2853,696.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,790.006,790.006,790.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.277.257.91
LTM Dividend per Share4.204.204.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.277.257.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.4711.4512.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$117.58$146.73$179.97
Upside / Downside-63.48%-54.43%-44.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)88,880.3287,991.5287,111.6086,240.4985,378.0884,524.3087,060.03
Payout Ratio32.09%43.67%55.25%66.83%78.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28,518.0038,424.7348,130.4757,638.2666,951.0776,071.8780,530.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)35,638.8236,002.4836,366.14
Year 2 PV (M)41,404.2742,253.5743,111.49
Year 3 PV (M)45,988.4147,410.6348,861.88
Year 4 PV (M)49,545.8951,599.3353,715.96
Year 5 PV (M)52,213.9654,932.8757,763.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,482,679.711,559,886.291,640,276.14
Equity Value (M)1,707,471.071,792,085.171,880,095.47
Shares Outstanding (M)6,790.006,790.006,790.00
Fair Value$251.47$263.93$276.89
Upside / Downside-21.90%-18.03%-14.01%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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