DDM Analysis: 605298.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$8.00 - $17.04	$11.37
Multi-Stage	$6.01 - $6.55	$6.28
Blended Fair Value	$8.83
Current Price	$42.56
Upside	-79.26%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-16.60%	23.57%	0.10	0.12	0.24	0.24	0.22	0.25	0.11	0.17	0.08	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	-13.50%	-51.25%	0.00%	6.67%	-10.27%	127.76%	-35.56%	104.04%	147.05%	178.03%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.69%	1.14%	2.21%	2.31%	1.56%	1.82%	0.00%	0.00%	0.61%	0.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	76.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	31.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)	45.51

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	15.40	9.62	5.77
Cash Retained (M)	45.51	45.51	45.51
(-) Cash Required (M)	-15.40	-9.62	-5.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)	30.11	35.88	39.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	181.54	181.54	181.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.17	0.20	0.22
LTM Dividend per Share	0.17	0.17	0.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.17	0.20	0.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.34	0.37	0.39
WACC / Discount Rate	9.97%	9.97%	9.97%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$8.00	$11.37	$17.04
Upside / Downside	-81.21%	-73.28%	-59.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	76.99	81.99	87.32	93.00	99.04	105.48	108.64
Payout Ratio	40.89%	50.71%	60.53%	70.36%	80.18%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	31.48	41.58	52.86	65.43	79.41	94.93	100.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.97%	9.97%	9.97%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	37.45	37.81	38.16
Year 2 PV (M)	42.89	43.71	44.53
Year 3 PV (M)	47.82	49.19	50.59
Year 4 PV (M)	52.28	54.29	56.36
Year 5 PV (M)	56.29	59.01	61.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)	854.42	895.69	938.53
Equity Value (M)	1,091.15	1,139.69	1,190.01
Shares Outstanding (M)	181.54	181.54	181.54
Fair Value	$6.01	$6.28	$6.55
Upside / Downside	-85.88%	-85.25%	-84.60%

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Jiangsu Bide Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (605298.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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