DDM Analysis: 601311.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$15.14 - $41.12	$23.32
Multi-Stage	$10.07 - $11.02	$10.54
Blended Fair Value	$16.93
Current Price	$11.28
Upside	50.08%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	23.85%	9.08%	0.32	0.20	0.22	0.19	0.37	0.11	0.04	0.04	0.16	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	60.13%	-9.09%	15.48%	-49.02%	240.00%	166.62%	-6.56%	-71.63%	115.00%	-46.16%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.76%	2.50%	2.23%	1.69%	3.50%	1.69%	0.38%	0.44%	1.27%	0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	745.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	38.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)	707.02

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	149.07	93.17	55.90
Cash Retained (M)	707.02	707.02	707.02
(-) Cash Required (M)	-149.07	-93.17	-55.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)	557.94	613.85	651.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,175.71	1,175.71	1,175.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.47	0.52	0.55
LTM Dividend per Share	0.03	0.03	0.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.47	0.52	0.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.51	0.55	0.59
WACC / Discount Rate	9.03%	9.03%	9.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$15.14	$23.32	$41.12
Upside / Downside	34.26%	106.77%	264.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	745.36	793.81	845.41	900.36	958.89	1,021.21	1,051.85
Payout Ratio	5.14%	22.12%	39.09%	56.06%	73.03%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	38.35	175.56	330.44	504.72	700.26	919.09	972.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.03%	9.03%	9.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	159.50	161.01	162.53
Year 2 PV (M)	272.76	277.96	283.20
Year 3 PV (M)	378.52	389.39	400.46
Year 4 PV (M)	477.14	495.48	514.36
Year 5 PV (M)	568.96	596.44	624.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,983.61	10,465.82	10,966.49
Equity Value (M)	11,840.49	12,386.11	12,952.01
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,175.71	1,175.71	1,175.71
Fair Value	$10.07	$10.54	$11.02
Upside / Downside	-10.72%	-6.60%	-2.34%

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Camel Group Co., Ltd. (601311.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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