DDM Analysis: 300563.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$7.05 - $14.97	$10.01
Multi-Stage	$5.02 - $5.49	$5.25
Blended Fair Value	$7.63
Current Price	$42.65
Upside	-82.10%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	34.38%	25.98%	0.27	0.09	0.09	0.08	0.10	0.06	0.06	0.10	0.02	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	194.27%	-0.53%	14.76%	-15.76%	54.87%	5.99%	-44.24%	477.93%	-27.39%	-7.36%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.68%	0.57%	0.67%	0.60%	0.62%	0.42%	0.37%	0.72%	0.07%	0.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	65.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)	65.47

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	13.10	8.19	4.91
Cash Retained (M)	65.47	65.47	65.47
(-) Cash Required (M)	-13.10	-8.19	-4.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)	52.37	57.28	60.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	174.37	174.37	174.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.30	0.33	0.35
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.30	0.33	0.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.30	0.33	0.35
WACC / Discount Rate	9.99%	9.99%	9.99%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$7.05	$10.01	$14.97
Upside / Downside	-83.46%	-76.52%	-64.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	65.49	69.75	74.28	79.11	84.25	89.73	92.42
Payout Ratio	0.03%	18.03%	36.02%	54.01%	72.01%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.02	12.57	26.75	42.73	60.67	80.75	85.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.99%	9.99%	9.99%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	11.32	11.43	11.54
Year 2 PV (M)	21.70	22.11	22.53
Year 3 PV (M)	31.21	32.11	33.02
Year 4 PV (M)	39.91	41.44	43.02
Year 5 PV (M)	47.84	50.15	52.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)	724.08	759.05	795.36
Equity Value (M)	876.06	916.30	958.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	174.37	174.37	174.37
Fair Value	$5.02	$5.25	$5.49
Upside / Downside	-88.22%	-87.68%	-87.12%

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Shenyu Communication Technology Inc. (300563.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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