DDM Analysis: 000722.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.68 - $0.90	$0.79
Multi-Stage	$0.95 - $1.04	$0.99
Blended Fair Value	$0.89
Current Price	$12.13
Upside	-92.65%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-4.53%	-4.09%	0.05	0.00	0.11	0.12	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	-8.02%	74.13%	-0.83%	-0.66%	29.54%	195.31%	-57.44%	-48.66%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.49%	0.00%	0.86%	1.30%	0.93%	1.18%	0.74%	0.59%	0.11%	0.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	70.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	26.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)	43.83

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	14.08	8.80	5.28
Cash Retained (M)	43.83	43.83	43.83
(-) Cash Required (M)	-14.08	-8.80	-5.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)	29.74	35.03	38.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	444.34	444.34	444.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.08	0.09
LTM Dividend per Share	0.06	0.06	0.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.08	0.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.13	0.14	0.15
WACC / Discount Rate	13.14%	13.14%	13.14%
Growth Rate	-4.75%	-3.75%	-2.75%
Fair Value	$0.68	$0.79	$0.90
Upside / Downside	-94.43%	-93.48%	-92.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	70.42	67.78	65.24	62.79	60.44	58.17	59.92
Payout Ratio	37.76%	48.21%	58.66%	69.10%	79.55%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	26.59	32.67	38.27	43.39	48.08	52.35	55.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	13.14%	13.14%	13.14%
Growth Rate	-4.75%	-3.75%	-2.75%
Year 1 PV (M)	28.58	28.88	29.18
Year 2 PV (M)	29.28	29.89	30.52
Year 3 PV (M)	29.04	29.96	30.91
Year 4 PV (M)	28.14	29.34	30.58
Year 5 PV (M)	26.81	28.24	29.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)	279.94	294.94	310.59
Equity Value (M)	421.78	441.27	461.52
Shares Outstanding (M)	444.34	444.34	444.34
Fair Value	$0.95	$0.99	$1.04
Upside / Downside	-92.17%	-91.81%	-91.44%

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Hunan Development Group Co.,Ltd (000722.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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