DDM Analysis: 000550.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$21.26 - $41.38	$29.24
Multi-Stage	$18.47 - $20.23	$19.34
Blended Fair Value	$24.29
Current Price	$21.15
Upside	14.84%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	76.96%	-1.29%	0.69	0.42	0.26	3.46	0.07	0.04	2.63	0.61	1.03	0.97
YoY Growth	-	-	63.70%	59.40%	-92.35%	4,865.71%	75.00%	-98.48%	332.30%	-40.78%	6.19%	22.78%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.02%	1.42%	1.87%	25.24%	0.24%	0.34%	11.09%	4.07%	3.75%	3.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,120.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,119.86

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	224.04	140.02	84.01
Cash Retained (M)	1,119.86	1,119.86	1,119.86
(-) Cash Required (M)	-224.04	-140.02	-84.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)	895.82	979.84	1,035.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	866.60	866.60	866.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.03	1.13	1.20
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.03	1.13	1.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.03	1.13	1.20
WACC / Discount Rate	9.25%	9.25%	9.25%
Growth Rate	4.18%	5.18%	6.18%
Fair Value	$21.26	$29.24	$41.38
Upside / Downside	0.51%	38.26%	95.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,120.18	1,178.24	1,239.31	1,303.55	1,371.11	1,442.18	1,485.45
Payout Ratio	0.03%	18.02%	36.02%	54.01%	72.01%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.32	212.35	446.37	704.07	987.28	1,297.96	1,374.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.25%	9.25%	9.25%
Growth Rate	4.18%	5.18%	6.18%
Year 1 PV (M)	192.52	194.37	196.22
Year 2 PV (M)	366.89	373.97	381.11
Year 3 PV (M)	524.67	539.92	555.47
Year 4 PV (M)	667.02	693.00	719.73
Year 5 PV (M)	795.03	833.93	874.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)	13,463.13	14,121.79	14,805.97
Equity Value (M)	16,009.27	16,756.98	17,532.83
Shares Outstanding (M)	866.60	866.60	866.60
Fair Value	$18.47	$19.34	$20.23
Upside / Downside	-12.65%	-8.58%	-4.34%

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Jiangling Motors Corporation, Ltd. (000550.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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