DDM Analysis: 300540.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.95 - $8.48	$6.48
Multi-Stage	$4.95 - $5.42	$5.18
Blended Fair Value	$5.83
Current Price	$19.63
Upside	-70.29%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-3.92%	-8.40%	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.06	0.02	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	57.72%	-16.00%	-64.01%	169.35%	-36.25%	-7.13%	-21.02%	85.80%	-51.16%	-23.69%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.16%	0.10%	0.15%	0.32%	0.16%	0.37%	0.28%	0.42%	0.10%	0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	68.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	11.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)	56.77

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	13.72	8.58	5.15
Cash Retained (M)	56.77	56.77	56.77
(-) Cash Required (M)	-13.72	-8.58	-5.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)	43.04	48.19	51.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	178.41	178.41	178.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.24	0.27	0.29
LTM Dividend per Share	0.07	0.07	0.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.24	0.27	0.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.31	0.34	0.36
WACC / Discount Rate	9.77%	9.77%	9.77%
Growth Rate	3.36%	4.36%	5.36%
Fair Value	$4.95	$6.48	$8.48
Upside / Downside	-74.76%	-66.99%	-56.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	68.61	71.60	74.72	77.97	81.37	84.91	87.46
Payout Ratio	17.27%	31.81%	46.36%	60.91%	75.45%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	11.85	22.78	34.64	47.49	61.40	76.42	80.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.77%	9.77%	9.77%
Growth Rate	3.36%	4.36%	5.36%
Year 1 PV (M)	20.55	20.75	20.95
Year 2 PV (M)	28.20	28.75	29.30
Year 3 PV (M)	34.88	35.90	36.94
Year 4 PV (M)	40.68	42.28	43.92
Year 5 PV (M)	45.69	47.94	50.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)	713.89	749.10	785.69
Equity Value (M)	883.89	924.72	967.08
Shares Outstanding (M)	178.41	178.41	178.41
Fair Value	$4.95	$5.18	$5.42
Upside / Downside	-74.76%	-73.60%	-72.39%

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Sichuan Shudao Equipment & Technology Co.,Ltd. (300540.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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