Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Financière de Tubize S.A. (TUB.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$85.88 - $201.04$126.16
Multi-Stage$62.92 - $68.73$65.77
Blended Fair Value$95.96
Current Price$133.00
Upside-27.85%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.61%7.29%0.970.860.750.680.620.560.540.520.500.48
YoY Growth--12.79%14.68%10.28%9.68%10.72%3.62%3.82%4.00%4.18%0.13%
Dividend Yield--0.68%1.20%1.06%0.75%0.75%0.88%0.89%0.79%0.84%0.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)182.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)136.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.5522.8413.71
Cash Retained (M)136.42136.42136.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.55-22.84-13.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)99.87113.58122.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)44.5144.5144.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.242.552.76
LTM Dividend per Share1.041.041.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.242.552.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.283.593.80
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.29%6.29%7.29%
Fair Value$85.88$126.16$201.04
Upside / Downside-35.43%-5.15%51.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)182.76194.26206.48219.47233.28247.96255.40
Payout Ratio25.35%38.28%51.21%64.14%77.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.3374.37105.74140.77179.79223.17236.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.29%6.29%7.29%
Year 1 PV (M)67.3968.0368.67
Year 2 PV (M)86.8388.4890.16
Year 3 PV (M)104.74107.75110.82
Year 4 PV (M)121.22125.89130.69
Year 5 PV (M)136.34142.94149.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,284.042,394.582,509.36
Equity Value (M)2,800.552,927.673,059.49
Shares Outstanding (M)44.5144.5144.51
Fair Value$62.92$65.77$68.73
Upside / Downside-52.69%-50.55%-48.32%

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