Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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S.A. Corporate Real Estate Limited (SAC.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.27 - $21.43$15.37
Multi-Stage$12.28 - $13.42$12.84
Blended Fair Value$14.11
Current Price$3.12
Upside352.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.30%-1.17%0.240.220.250.280.180.410.440.430.380.30
YoY Growth--5.93%-11.77%-9.30%59.69%-57.09%-7.54%2.87%14.62%25.25%12.11%
Dividend Yield--8.16%9.70%10.62%11.96%10.17%13.40%13.20%8.97%6.69%6.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,813.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,202.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)611.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)362.78226.74136.04
Cash Retained (M)611.19611.19611.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-362.78-226.74-136.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)248.41384.45475.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,523.162,523.162,523.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.150.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.150.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.630.66
WACC / Discount Rate8.45%8.45%8.45%
Growth Rate3.19%4.19%5.19%
Fair Value$11.27$15.37$21.43
Upside / Downside261.36%392.66%586.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,813.891,889.831,968.952,051.392,137.272,226.752,293.56
Payout Ratio66.31%71.04%75.78%80.52%85.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,202.701,342.611,492.131,651.821,822.262,004.082,121.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.45%8.45%8.45%
Growth Rate3.19%4.19%5.19%
Year 1 PV (M)1,226.121,238.001,249.88
Year 2 PV (M)1,244.421,268.661,293.13
Year 3 PV (M)1,258.071,295.001,332.65
Year 4 PV (M)1,267.451,317.311,368.61
Year 5 PV (M)1,272.971,335.861,401.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,724.6125,946.1127,215.42
Equity Value (M)30,993.6432,400.9433,860.90
Shares Outstanding (M)2,523.162,523.162,523.16
Fair Value$12.28$12.84$13.42
Upside / Downside293.71%311.58%330.13%

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