Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Shandong Tengda Fa (001379.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.05 - $4.46$3.73
Multi-Stage$5.35 - $5.88$5.61
Blended Fair Value$4.67
Current Price$20.19
Upside-76.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.180.010.320.260.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3,496.03%-98.46%26.74%55,206.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.86%0.03%1.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)82.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.4610.286.17
Cash Retained (M)52.3252.3252.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.46-10.28-6.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.8742.0446.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)204.69204.69204.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate8.33%8.33%8.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.05$3.73$4.46
Upside / Downside-84.89%-81.52%-77.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)82.2881.4580.6479.8379.0378.2480.59
Payout Ratio36.41%47.13%57.84%68.56%79.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.9538.3946.6454.7362.6670.4274.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.33%8.33%8.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)35.0835.4335.79
Year 2 PV (M)38.9539.7540.55
Year 3 PV (M)41.7643.0544.37
Year 4 PV (M)43.6845.4947.36
Year 5 PV (M)44.8647.1949.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)890.50936.87985.16
Equity Value (M)1,094.831,147.791,202.85
Shares Outstanding (M)204.69204.69204.69
Fair Value$5.35$5.61$5.88
Upside / Downside-73.51%-72.23%-70.89%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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