Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shandong Tengda Fa (001379.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.23 - $4.79$3.97
Multi-Stage$6.01 - $6.61$6.30
Blended Fair Value$5.14
Current Price$20.19
Upside-74.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.180.010.320.260.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3,496.03%-98.46%26.74%55,206.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.86%0.03%1.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)82.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.4610.286.17
Cash Retained (M)52.3252.3252.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.46-10.28-6.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.8742.0446.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)204.69204.69204.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.23$3.97$4.79
Upside / Downside-84.02%-80.33%-76.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)82.2881.4580.6479.8379.0378.2480.59
Payout Ratio36.41%47.13%57.84%68.56%79.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.9538.3946.6454.7362.6670.4274.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.77%7.77%7.77%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)35.2635.6235.98
Year 2 PV (M)39.3640.1640.98
Year 3 PV (M)42.4243.7345.07
Year 4 PV (M)44.6046.4548.36
Year 5 PV (M)46.0548.4450.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,022.291,075.521,130.95
Equity Value (M)1,229.971,289.931,352.27
Shares Outstanding (M)204.69204.69204.69
Fair Value$6.01$6.30$6.61
Upside / Downside-70.24%-68.79%-67.28%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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