Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

B.V. Delftsch Aardewerkfabriek "De Porceleyne Fles Anno 1653" (PORF.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.83 - $5.93$4.80
Multi-Stage$8.60 - $9.47$9.03
Blended Fair Value$6.92
Current Price$11.00
Upside-37.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.93%0.00%0.040.000.000.000.000.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)0.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.090.050.03
Cash Retained (M)0.350.350.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.09-0.05-0.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.260.300.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.051.051.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.280.30
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.280.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.83$4.80$5.93
Upside / Downside-65.18%-56.32%-46.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)0.430.420.420.420.410.410.42
Payout Ratio18.65%32.92%47.19%61.46%75.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.080.140.200.260.310.370.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.130.130.13
Year 2 PV (M)0.170.180.18
Year 3 PV (M)0.210.210.22
Year 4 PV (M)0.230.240.25
Year 5 PV (M)0.260.270.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)8.008.428.85
Equity Value (M)9.009.459.92
Shares Outstanding (M)1.051.051.05
Fair Value$8.60$9.03$9.47
Upside / Downside-21.85%-17.94%-13.86%

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