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NEPI Rockcastle S.A. (NRP.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$160.67 - $321.23$301.04
Multi-Stage$49.37 - $54.06$51.67
Blended Fair Value$176.36
Current Price$6.58
Upside2,580.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.36%41.42%0.410.100.360.310.220.240.440.060.070.08
YoY Growth--308.67%-71.90%14.75%39.53%-6.83%-45.43%659.38%-19.19%-4.36%483.22%
Dividend Yield--5.51%1.64%5.58%5.27%4.41%3.13%7.10%0.43%0.63%0.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,082.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)335.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)747.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)216.53135.3381.20
Cash Retained (M)747.43747.43747.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-216.53-135.33-81.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)530.90612.10666.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)670.27670.27670.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.790.910.99
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.790.910.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.291.411.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$160.67$301.04$321.23
Upside / Downside2,341.83%4,475.04%4,781.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,082.641,153.011,227.961,307.771,392.781,483.311,527.81
Payout Ratio30.96%42.77%54.58%66.38%78.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)335.21493.14670.19868.161,089.051,334.981,413.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)459.35463.70468.06
Year 2 PV (M)581.49592.56603.74
Year 3 PV (M)701.64721.79742.31
Year 4 PV (M)819.85851.38883.81
Year 5 PV (M)936.12981.341,028.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,595.3331,024.8032,508.97
Equity Value (M)33,093.7834,635.5636,235.17
Shares Outstanding (M)670.27670.27670.27
Fair Value$49.37$51.67$54.06
Upside / Downside650.36%685.32%721.59%

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