Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Nelly Group AB (publ) (NELLY.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.12 - $65.67$53.69
Multi-Stage$88.82 - $97.86$93.25
Blended Fair Value$73.47
Current Price$78.50
Upside-6.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.830.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)146.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)121.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.3018.3110.99
Cash Retained (M)121.60121.60121.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.30-18.31-10.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)92.30103.29110.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.0130.0130.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.083.443.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.830.830.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.083.443.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.914.274.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$43.12$53.69$65.67
Upside / Downside-45.07%-31.60%-16.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)146.50145.04143.58142.15140.73139.32143.50
Payout Ratio17.00%31.60%46.20%60.80%75.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.9045.8366.3386.42106.11125.39132.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)42.4542.8843.31
Year 2 PV (M)56.9058.0759.25
Year 3 PV (M)68.6770.7972.96
Year 4 PV (M)78.0981.3284.66
Year 5 PV (M)85.4789.9294.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,333.852,455.382,581.92
Equity Value (M)2,665.432,798.372,936.65
Shares Outstanding (M)30.0130.0130.01
Fair Value$88.82$93.25$97.86
Upside / Downside13.15%18.80%24.67%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 19 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
SIGISelective Insurance Group, Inc.1.77%$1.4822.19%
FUSBFirst US Bancshares, Inc.1.76%$0.2526.72%
RRyder System, Inc.1.76%$3.4128.29%
RGAReinsurance Group of America, Incorporated1.75%$3.5527.34%
TFG.ASTetragon Financial Group Limited1.75%$0.303.32%
WFCWells Fargo & Company1.75%$1.6725.46%
HCKTThe Hackett Group, Inc.1.74%$0.3485.97%
LEGLeggett & Platt, Incorporated1.74%$0.1911.94%
RPRXRoyalty Pharma plc1.74%$0.6749.36%
SFBCSound Financial Bancorp, Inc.1.74%$0.7637.96%
SXTSensient Technologies Corporation1.74%$1.6350.00%
MKTXMarketAxess Holdings Inc.1.73%$3.0952.31%
PRGPROG Holdings, Inc.1.73%$0.5112.57%
STELStellar Bancorp, Inc.1.73%$0.5326.88%
UFCSUnited Fire Group, Inc.1.73%$0.6214.63%
AMALAmalgamated Financial Corp.1.72%$0.5516.32%
BKThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation1.72%$2.0127.06%
COWNCowen Inc.1.72%$0.6733.32%
DGDollar General Corporation1.72%$2.3540.66%
AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.1.71%$0.7359.04%
DTFDTF Tax-Free Income 2028 Term Fund Inc.1.71%$0.2080.42%
ERIEErie Indemnity Company1.71%$4.7538.59%
FLXSFlexsteel Industries, Inc.1.71%$0.6817.01%
MTCHMatch Group, Inc.1.71%$0.5425.07%
LBRTLiberty Energy Inc.1.70%$0.3228.43%
OVBCOhio Valley Banc Corp.1.70%$0.6728.36%
WTFCWintrust Financial Corporation1.70%$2.4320.92%
BANFBancFirst Corporation1.69%$1.8025.72%
BDLFlanigan's Enterprises, Inc.1.69%$0.5021.50%
CDHAXCalvert International Responsible Idx A1.69%$0.6441.92%
CINRSisecam Resources LP1.69%$0.3419.21%
EXPOExponent, Inc.1.69%$1.1858.07%
GDGeneral Dynamics Corporation1.69%$5.8037.41%
HQIHireQuest, Inc.1.69%$0.1836.36%
OTFBlue Owl Technology Finance Corp.1.69%$0.249.20%
PHINPHINIA Inc.1.68%$1.0947.78%
PTRSPartners Bancorp1.68%$0.1213.62%
RNGRRanger Energy Services, Inc.1.67%$0.2434.90%
HQHAbrdn Healthcare Investors1.66%$0.316.95%
JILLJ.Jill, Inc.1.66%$0.2310.45%
PSH.ASPershing Square Holdings, Ltd.1.65%$0.856.48%
SKTTanger Inc.1.65%$0.5558.16%
USCBUSCB Financial Holdings, Inc.1.64%$0.3018.70%
BOTJBank of the James Financial Group, Inc.1.62%$0.3026.41%
RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co.1.62%$4.7834.66%
SCIService Corporation International1.62%$1.2533.57%
SMLPSummit Midstream Partners, LP1.62%$0.596.02%
TKRThe Timken Company1.62%$1.4032.90%
TRINLTrinity Capital Inc. - 7.00% No1.62%$0.4120.50%
CARRCarrier Global Corporation1.61%$0.8618.56%