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Mersen S.A. (MRN.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$133.91 - $438.36$217.47
Multi-Stage$130.10 - $142.55$136.21
Blended Fair Value$176.84
Current Price$22.10
Upside700.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.93%11.94%1.241.210.830.540.000.890.630.490.420.42
YoY Growth--2.32%45.89%53.33%13,400.00%-99.55%39.87%28.46%17.14%0.00%5.00%
Dividend Yield--6.02%3.46%2.29%1.53%0.02%2.71%2.81%1.39%2.16%2.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)126.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)57.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)68.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.2015.759.45
Cash Retained (M)68.8068.8068.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.20-15.75-9.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)43.6053.0559.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.9424.9424.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.752.132.38
LTM Dividend per Share2.292.292.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.752.132.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.044.424.67
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate3.53%4.53%5.53%
Fair Value$133.91$217.47$438.36
Upside / Downside505.94%884.02%1,883.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)126.00131.71137.67143.91150.43157.24161.96
Payout Ratio45.40%54.32%63.24%72.16%81.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)57.2071.5487.06103.84121.96141.52149.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate3.53%4.53%5.53%
Year 1 PV (M)66.4367.0867.72
Year 2 PV (M)75.0876.5478.01
Year 3 PV (M)83.1685.5988.07
Year 4 PV (M)90.7094.2697.92
Year 5 PV (M)97.73102.54107.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,831.012,970.403,115.23
Equity Value (M)3,244.113,396.413,554.49
Shares Outstanding (M)24.9424.9424.94
Fair Value$130.10$136.21$142.55
Upside / Downside488.68%516.32%545.00%

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