Definitive Analysis
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LPS Brasil - Consultoria de Imóveis S.A. (LPSB3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.81 - $20.90$9.66
Multi-Stage$5.88 - $6.43$6.15
Blended Fair Value$7.91
Current Price$1.60
Upside394.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.64%-12.74%0.150.120.220.130.170.120.100.080.100.21
YoY Growth--22.74%-43.82%66.10%-20.44%44.37%16.73%23.13%-23.20%-51.36%-63.78%
Dividend Yield--10.59%5.58%14.08%3.11%4.15%3.24%2.05%1.64%2.31%8.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.733.582.15
Cash Retained (M)4.744.744.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.73-3.58-2.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.001.152.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)137.29137.29137.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate3.45%4.45%5.45%
Fair Value$5.81$9.66$20.90
Upside / Downside263.02%503.93%1,206.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28.6629.9331.2732.6634.1135.6336.70
Payout Ratio83.48%84.78%86.09%87.39%88.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.9225.3826.9228.5430.2632.0733.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate3.45%4.45%5.45%
Year 1 PV (M)23.6223.8524.07
Year 2 PV (M)23.3123.7624.22
Year 3 PV (M)23.0023.6824.36
Year 4 PV (M)22.6923.5824.50
Year 5 PV (M)22.3823.4924.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)691.77725.86761.27
Equity Value (M)806.78844.21883.07
Shares Outstanding (M)137.29137.29137.29
Fair Value$5.88$6.15$6.43
Upside / Downside267.28%284.33%302.01%

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