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Les Docks des Pétroles d'Ambès -SA (DPAM.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,123.25 - $4,910.34$3,106.49
Multi-Stage$2,809.43 - $3,076.90$2,940.66
Blended Fair Value$3,023.57
Current Price$890.00
Upside239.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-19.59%15.15%41.0038.0033.0029.5030.00121.9830.0025.0020.0015.00
YoY Growth--7.89%15.15%11.86%-1.67%-75.41%306.60%20.00%25.00%33.33%50.00%
Dividend Yield--6.72%8.09%6.96%6.33%8.20%26.52%6.64%4.42%5.21%6.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.071.290.78
Cash Retained (M)1.341.341.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.07-1.29-0.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.720.050.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.100.100.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share-7.400.535.82
LTM Dividend per Share92.0092.0092.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-7.400.535.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend84.6092.5397.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.47%6.47%6.47%
Growth Rate2.39%3.39%4.39%
Fair Value$2,123.25$3,106.49$4,910.34
Upside / Downside138.57%249.04%451.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10.3410.6911.0511.4311.8212.2212.58
Payout Ratio87.00%87.60%88.20%88.80%89.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.009.379.7510.1510.5610.9911.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.47%6.47%6.47%
Growth Rate2.39%3.39%4.39%
Year 1 PV (M)8.718.808.88
Year 2 PV (M)8.448.608.77
Year 3 PV (M)8.178.418.66
Year 4 PV (M)7.918.228.54
Year 5 PV (M)7.668.048.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)233.88245.53257.64
Equity Value (M)274.76287.60300.92
Shares Outstanding (M)0.100.100.10
Fair Value$2,809.43$2,940.66$3,076.90
Upside / Downside215.67%230.41%245.72%

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