Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Dollar General Corporation (DG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Discount StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$135.88 - $360.46$207.78
Multi-Stage$94.79 - $103.46$99.05
Blended Fair Value$153.41
Current Price$98.66
Upside55.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.64%0.00%2.352.352.241.781.611.491.391.281.281.17
YoY Growth--0.19%4.91%25.89%10.19%8.66%6.87%8.34%0.64%8.83%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.61%1.71%1.02%0.75%0.75%0.86%1.11%1.34%1.73%1.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,277.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)519.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)757.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)255.45159.6595.79
Cash Retained (M)757.90757.90757.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-255.45-159.65-95.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)502.45598.24662.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)220.49220.49220.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.282.713.00
LTM Dividend per Share2.362.362.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.282.713.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.635.075.36
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$135.88$207.78$360.46
Upside / Downside37.73%110.60%265.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,277.231,360.251,448.661,542.831,643.111,749.911,802.41
Payout Ratio40.66%50.53%60.40%70.26%80.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)519.33687.31874.941,084.061,316.661,574.921,667.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)624.08630.00635.91
Year 2 PV (M)721.36735.10748.97
Year 3 PV (M)811.54834.84858.58
Year 4 PV (M)894.99929.41964.81
Year 5 PV (M)972.051,019.001,067.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,874.7917,689.8518,536.10
Equity Value (M)20,898.8121,838.1922,812.12
Shares Outstanding (M)220.49220.49220.49
Fair Value$94.79$99.05$103.46
Upside / Downside-3.93%0.39%4.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 19 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
SIGISelective Insurance Group, Inc.1.77%$1.4822.19%
FUSBFirst US Bancshares, Inc.1.76%$0.2526.72%
RRyder System, Inc.1.76%$3.4128.29%
RGAReinsurance Group of America, Incorporated1.75%$3.5527.34%
TFG.ASTetragon Financial Group Limited1.75%$0.303.32%
WFCWells Fargo & Company1.75%$1.6725.46%
HCKTThe Hackett Group, Inc.1.74%$0.3485.97%
LEGLeggett & Platt, Incorporated1.74%$0.1911.94%
RPRXRoyalty Pharma plc1.74%$0.6749.36%
SFBCSound Financial Bancorp, Inc.1.74%$0.7637.96%
SXTSensient Technologies Corporation1.74%$1.6350.00%
MKTXMarketAxess Holdings Inc.1.73%$3.0952.31%
PRGPROG Holdings, Inc.1.73%$0.5112.57%
STELStellar Bancorp, Inc.1.73%$0.5326.88%
UFCSUnited Fire Group, Inc.1.73%$0.6214.63%
AMALAmalgamated Financial Corp.1.72%$0.5516.32%
BKThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation1.72%$2.0127.06%
COWNCowen Inc.1.72%$0.6733.32%
DGDollar General Corporation1.72%$2.3540.66%
AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.1.71%$0.7359.04%
DTFDTF Tax-Free Income 2028 Term Fund Inc.1.71%$0.2080.42%
ERIEErie Indemnity Company1.71%$4.7538.59%
FLXSFlexsteel Industries, Inc.1.71%$0.6817.01%
MTCHMatch Group, Inc.1.71%$0.5425.07%
LBRTLiberty Energy Inc.1.70%$0.3228.43%
OVBCOhio Valley Banc Corp.1.70%$0.6728.36%
WTFCWintrust Financial Corporation1.70%$2.4320.92%
BANFBancFirst Corporation1.69%$1.8025.72%
BDLFlanigan's Enterprises, Inc.1.69%$0.5021.50%
CDHAXCalvert International Responsible Idx A1.69%$0.6441.92%
CINRSisecam Resources LP1.69%$0.3419.21%
EXPOExponent, Inc.1.69%$1.1858.07%
GDGeneral Dynamics Corporation1.69%$5.8037.41%
HQIHireQuest, Inc.1.69%$0.1836.36%
OTFBlue Owl Technology Finance Corp.1.69%$0.249.20%
PHINPHINIA Inc.1.68%$1.0947.78%
PTRSPartners Bancorp1.68%$0.1213.62%
RNGRRanger Energy Services, Inc.1.67%$0.2434.90%
HQHAbrdn Healthcare Investors1.66%$0.316.95%
JILLJ.Jill, Inc.1.66%$0.2310.45%
PSH.ASPershing Square Holdings, Ltd.1.65%$0.856.48%
SKTTanger Inc.1.65%$0.5558.16%
USCBUSCB Financial Holdings, Inc.1.64%$0.3018.70%
BOTJBank of the James Financial Group, Inc.1.62%$0.3026.41%
RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co.1.62%$4.7834.66%
SCIService Corporation International1.62%$1.2533.57%
SMLPSummit Midstream Partners, LP1.62%$0.596.02%
TKRThe Timken Company1.62%$1.4032.90%
TRINLTrinity Capital Inc. - 7.00% No1.62%$0.4120.50%
CARRCarrier Global Corporation1.61%$0.8618.56%