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Crane NXT, Co. (CXT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.87 - $27.15$22.91
Multi-Stage$30.39 - $33.39$31.86
Blended Fair Value$27.39
Current Price$53.90
Upside-49.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.05%0.00%0.630.410.001.741.731.611.441.351.331.32
YoY Growth--54.43%0.00%-100.00%0.20%7.73%11.62%6.51%1.55%0.78%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.23%0.67%0.00%4.62%5.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)154.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)116.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.9419.3411.60
Cash Retained (M)116.30116.30116.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.94-19.34-11.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)85.3696.96104.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)57.9357.9357.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.471.671.81
LTM Dividend per Share0.660.660.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.471.671.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.142.342.47
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$18.87$22.91$27.15
Upside / Downside-65.00%-57.49%-49.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)154.70153.15151.62150.11148.60147.12151.53
Payout Ratio24.82%37.86%50.89%63.93%76.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.4057.9877.1795.96114.37132.41140.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)52.6153.1553.68
Year 2 PV (M)63.5364.8366.15
Year 3 PV (M)71.6873.9076.16
Year 4 PV (M)77.5280.7384.05
Year 5 PV (M)81.4385.6790.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,413.611,487.221,563.86
Equity Value (M)1,760.381,845.491,933.98
Shares Outstanding (M)57.9357.9357.93
Fair Value$30.39$31.86$33.39
Upside / Downside-43.62%-40.89%-38.06%

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