Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Xinjiang Guannong Fruit & Antler Co.,Ltd. (600251.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.58 - $56.43$52.89
Multi-Stage$8.89 - $9.73$9.30
Blended Fair Value$31.09
Current Price$8.21
Upside278.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS42.20%12.03%0.530.280.150.100.030.090.140.100.140.16
YoY Growth--88.04%90.25%53.80%204.29%-65.27%-32.99%35.47%-30.00%-13.31%-2.75%
Dividend Yield--7.51%3.28%1.74%0.98%0.46%1.36%2.17%1.42%1.65%2.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)219.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)110.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)109.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)43.9527.4716.48
Cash Retained (M)109.58109.58109.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-43.95-27.47-16.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)65.6382.1193.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)774.36774.36774.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$29.58$52.89$56.43
Upside / Downside260.24%544.18%587.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)219.74234.02249.23265.43282.69301.06310.09
Payout Ratio50.13%58.11%66.08%74.05%82.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)110.16135.98164.69196.56231.88270.95286.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)126.71127.91129.11
Year 2 PV (M)143.00145.72148.47
Year 3 PV (M)159.03163.60168.25
Year 4 PV (M)174.81181.54188.45
Year 5 PV (M)190.35199.54209.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,088.066,382.126,687.43
Equity Value (M)6,881.957,200.427,530.79
Shares Outstanding (M)774.36774.36774.36
Fair Value$8.89$9.30$9.73
Upside / Downside8.25%13.26%18.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 19 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
SIGISelective Insurance Group, Inc.1.77%$1.4822.19%
FUSBFirst US Bancshares, Inc.1.76%$0.2526.72%
RRyder System, Inc.1.76%$3.4128.29%
RGAReinsurance Group of America, Incorporated1.75%$3.5527.34%
TFG.ASTetragon Financial Group Limited1.75%$0.303.32%
WFCWells Fargo & Company1.75%$1.6725.46%
HCKTThe Hackett Group, Inc.1.74%$0.3485.97%
LEGLeggett & Platt, Incorporated1.74%$0.1911.94%
RPRXRoyalty Pharma plc1.74%$0.6749.36%
SFBCSound Financial Bancorp, Inc.1.74%$0.7637.96%
SXTSensient Technologies Corporation1.74%$1.6350.00%
MKTXMarketAxess Holdings Inc.1.73%$3.0952.31%
PRGPROG Holdings, Inc.1.73%$0.5112.57%
STELStellar Bancorp, Inc.1.73%$0.5326.88%
UFCSUnited Fire Group, Inc.1.73%$0.6214.63%
AMALAmalgamated Financial Corp.1.72%$0.5516.32%
BKThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation1.72%$2.0127.06%
COWNCowen Inc.1.72%$0.6733.32%
DGDollar General Corporation1.72%$2.3540.66%
AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.1.71%$0.7359.04%
DTFDTF Tax-Free Income 2028 Term Fund Inc.1.71%$0.2080.42%
ERIEErie Indemnity Company1.71%$4.7538.59%
FLXSFlexsteel Industries, Inc.1.71%$0.6817.01%
MTCHMatch Group, Inc.1.71%$0.5425.07%
LBRTLiberty Energy Inc.1.70%$0.3228.43%
OVBCOhio Valley Banc Corp.1.70%$0.6728.36%
WTFCWintrust Financial Corporation1.70%$2.4320.92%
BANFBancFirst Corporation1.69%$1.8025.72%
BDLFlanigan's Enterprises, Inc.1.69%$0.5021.50%
CDHAXCalvert International Responsible Idx A1.69%$0.6441.92%
CINRSisecam Resources LP1.69%$0.3419.21%
EXPOExponent, Inc.1.69%$1.1858.07%
GDGeneral Dynamics Corporation1.69%$5.8037.41%
HQIHireQuest, Inc.1.69%$0.1836.36%
OTFBlue Owl Technology Finance Corp.1.69%$0.249.20%
PHINPHINIA Inc.1.68%$1.0947.78%
PTRSPartners Bancorp1.68%$0.1213.62%
RNGRRanger Energy Services, Inc.1.67%$0.2434.90%
HQHAbrdn Healthcare Investors1.66%$0.316.95%
JILLJ.Jill, Inc.1.66%$0.2310.45%
PSH.ASPershing Square Holdings, Ltd.1.65%$0.856.48%
SKTTanger Inc.1.65%$0.5558.16%
USCBUSCB Financial Holdings, Inc.1.64%$0.3018.70%
BOTJBank of the James Financial Group, Inc.1.62%$0.3026.41%
RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co.1.62%$4.7834.66%
SCIService Corporation International1.62%$1.2533.57%
SMLPSummit Midstream Partners, LP1.62%$0.596.02%
TKRThe Timken Company1.62%$1.4032.90%
TRINLTrinity Capital Inc. - 7.00% No1.62%$0.4120.50%
CARRCarrier Global Corporation1.61%$0.8618.56%