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Halliburton Company (0R23.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.19 - $16.27$13.65
Multi-Stage$18.05 - $19.80$18.91
Blended Fair Value$16.28
Current Price$24.60
Upside-33.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.97%1.19%0.690.660.500.190.320.730.730.720.710.71
YoY Growth--4.17%32.41%170.19%-42.09%-55.87%0.00%0.64%0.97%0.98%15.20%
Dividend Yield--2.73%1.66%1.59%0.49%1.49%10.60%2.41%1.54%1.45%1.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,309.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)584.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)725.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)261.80163.6398.18
Cash Retained (M)725.00725.00725.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-261.80-163.63-98.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)463.20561.38626.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)867.25867.25867.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.530.650.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.670.670.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.530.650.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.211.321.40
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-1.53%-0.53%0.47%
Fair Value$11.19$13.65$16.27
Upside / Downside-54.50%-44.51%-33.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,309.001,302.111,295.261,288.451,281.671,274.931,313.17
Payout Ratio44.61%53.69%62.77%71.85%80.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)584.00699.12813.02925.691,037.161,147.431,214.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-1.53%-0.53%0.47%
Year 1 PV (M)634.38640.82647.26
Year 2 PV (M)669.41683.07696.87
Year 3 PV (M)691.60712.88734.60
Year 4 PV (M)703.12732.12762.00
Year 5 PV (M)705.84742.41780.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,253.2912,888.2113,549.19
Equity Value (M)15,657.6216,399.5117,170.41
Shares Outstanding (M)867.25867.25867.25
Fair Value$18.05$18.91$19.80
Upside / Downside-26.61%-23.13%-19.52%

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