Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Guangdong New Grand Long Packing Co., Ltd. (002836.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.75 - $2.51$2.12
Multi-Stage$5.08 - $5.60$5.34
Blended Fair Value$3.73
Current Price$9.81
Upside-62.00%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-22.54%-6.13%0.100.340.070.220.070.360.180.070.130.16
YoY Growth---70.95%380.00%-66.67%200.00%-80.00%100.00%150.00%-46.67%-16.67%-14.29%
Dividend Yield--1.27%4.91%0.86%2.99%1.17%5.13%1.58%0.58%0.53%3.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.407.124.27
Cash Retained (M)1.221.221.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.40-7.12-4.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)-10.18-5.91-3.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)223.18223.18223.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.03-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.03-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.24
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-4.82%-3.82%-2.82%
Fair Value$1.75$2.12$2.51
Upside / Downside-82.21%-78.40%-74.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56.9954.8152.7250.7048.7646.9048.31
Payout Ratio97.86%96.29%94.72%93.15%91.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.7752.7849.9347.2344.6542.2144.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate-4.82%-3.82%-2.82%
Year 1 PV (M)49.1349.6450.16
Year 2 PV (M)43.2644.1845.10
Year 3 PV (M)38.0939.3040.54
Year 4 PV (M)33.5234.9536.43
Year 5 PV (M)29.4931.0732.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)941.23991.721,044.36
Equity Value (M)1,134.711,190.861,249.31
Shares Outstanding (M)223.18223.18223.18
Fair Value$5.08$5.34$5.60
Upside / Downside-48.17%-45.61%-42.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 19 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
SIGISelective Insurance Group, Inc.1.77%$1.4822.19%
FUSBFirst US Bancshares, Inc.1.76%$0.2526.72%
RRyder System, Inc.1.76%$3.4128.29%
RGAReinsurance Group of America, Incorporated1.75%$3.5527.34%
TFG.ASTetragon Financial Group Limited1.75%$0.303.32%
WFCWells Fargo & Company1.75%$1.6725.46%
HCKTThe Hackett Group, Inc.1.74%$0.3485.97%
LEGLeggett & Platt, Incorporated1.74%$0.1911.94%
RPRXRoyalty Pharma plc1.74%$0.6749.36%
SFBCSound Financial Bancorp, Inc.1.74%$0.7637.96%
SXTSensient Technologies Corporation1.74%$1.6350.00%
MKTXMarketAxess Holdings Inc.1.73%$3.0952.31%
PRGPROG Holdings, Inc.1.73%$0.5112.57%
STELStellar Bancorp, Inc.1.73%$0.5326.88%
UFCSUnited Fire Group, Inc.1.73%$0.6214.63%
AMALAmalgamated Financial Corp.1.72%$0.5516.32%
BKThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation1.72%$2.0127.06%
COWNCowen Inc.1.72%$0.6733.32%
DGDollar General Corporation1.72%$2.3540.66%
AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.1.71%$0.7359.04%
DTFDTF Tax-Free Income 2028 Term Fund Inc.1.71%$0.2080.42%
ERIEErie Indemnity Company1.71%$4.7538.59%
FLXSFlexsteel Industries, Inc.1.71%$0.6817.01%
MTCHMatch Group, Inc.1.71%$0.5425.07%
LBRTLiberty Energy Inc.1.70%$0.3228.43%
OVBCOhio Valley Banc Corp.1.70%$0.6728.36%
WTFCWintrust Financial Corporation1.70%$2.4320.92%
BANFBancFirst Corporation1.69%$1.8025.72%
BDLFlanigan's Enterprises, Inc.1.69%$0.5021.50%
CDHAXCalvert International Responsible Idx A1.69%$0.6441.92%
CINRSisecam Resources LP1.69%$0.3419.21%
EXPOExponent, Inc.1.69%$1.1858.07%
GDGeneral Dynamics Corporation1.69%$5.8037.41%
HQIHireQuest, Inc.1.69%$0.1836.36%
OTFBlue Owl Technology Finance Corp.1.69%$0.249.20%
PHINPHINIA Inc.1.68%$1.0947.78%
PTRSPartners Bancorp1.68%$0.1213.62%
RNGRRanger Energy Services, Inc.1.67%$0.2434.90%
HQHAbrdn Healthcare Investors1.66%$0.316.95%
JILLJ.Jill, Inc.1.66%$0.2310.45%
PSH.ASPershing Square Holdings, Ltd.1.65%$0.856.48%
SKTTanger Inc.1.65%$0.5558.16%
USCBUSCB Financial Holdings, Inc.1.64%$0.3018.70%
BOTJBank of the James Financial Group, Inc.1.62%$0.3026.41%
RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co.1.62%$4.7834.66%
SCIService Corporation International1.62%$1.2533.57%
SMLPSummit Midstream Partners, LP1.62%$0.596.02%
TKRThe Timken Company1.62%$1.4032.90%
TRINLTrinity Capital Inc. - 7.00% No1.62%$0.4120.50%
CARRCarrier Global Corporation1.61%$0.8618.56%