Definitive Analysis
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Totens Sparebank (TOTG.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,999.21 - $7,212.98$6,363.14
Multi-Stage$951.98 - $1,039.46$994.93
Blended Fair Value$3,679.03
Current Price$256.45
Upside1,334.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS7.84%19.98%14.0812.308.909.399.959.656.656.655.652.83
YoY Growth--14.42%38.15%-5.18%-5.58%3.06%45.06%0.00%17.69%100.01%24.13%
Dividend Yield--6.23%5.91%3.51%5.98%7.54%7.98%5.74%6.65%6.28%3.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)222.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)193.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.4327.7716.66
Cash Retained (M)28.4428.4428.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.43-27.77-16.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)-15.980.6811.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.126.126.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share-2.610.111.92
LTM Dividend per Share31.6231.6231.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share-2.610.111.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend29.0231.7433.55
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,999.21$6,363.14$7,212.98
Upside / Downside679.57%2,381.24%2,712.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)222.13236.57251.95268.32285.76304.34313.47
Payout Ratio87.19%87.76%88.32%88.88%89.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)193.69207.60222.51238.48255.58273.90289.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)192.14193.96195.79
Year 2 PV (M)190.61194.24197.90
Year 3 PV (M)189.07194.50200.03
Year 4 PV (M)187.54194.76202.17
Year 5 PV (M)186.02195.01204.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,885.045,120.995,365.97
Equity Value (M)5,830.436,093.456,366.20
Shares Outstanding (M)6.126.126.12
Fair Value$951.98$994.93$1,039.46
Upside / Downside271.21%287.96%305.33%

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