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Preferred Bank (PFBC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$230.31 - $610.95$352.17
Multi-Stage$158.63 - $173.26$165.81
Blended Fair Value$258.99
Current Price$90.39
Upside186.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.44%39.45%2.852.371.911.631.361.391.190.840.640.48
YoY Growth--20.41%23.87%17.34%19.59%-2.04%17.04%41.58%30.79%33.89%367.51%
Dividend Yield--3.41%3.11%3.49%2.20%2.14%4.11%2.61%1.31%1.20%1.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)129.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)90.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.8116.139.68
Cash Retained (M)90.7590.7590.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.81-16.13-9.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)64.9574.6281.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.1413.1413.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.945.686.17
LTM Dividend per Share2.912.912.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.945.686.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.858.599.08
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$230.31$352.17$610.95
Upside / Downside154.80%289.61%575.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)129.03137.42146.35155.86165.99176.78182.09
Payout Ratio29.67%41.73%53.80%65.87%77.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.2857.3578.74102.66129.36159.11168.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)52.0752.5753.06
Year 2 PV (M)64.9166.1567.40
Year 3 PV (M)76.8579.0681.31
Year 4 PV (M)87.9391.3294.79
Year 5 PV (M)98.20102.94107.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,704.761,787.101,872.60
Equity Value (M)2,084.742,179.142,277.02
Shares Outstanding (M)13.1413.1413.14
Fair Value$158.63$165.81$173.26
Upside / Downside75.50%83.44%91.68%

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