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First Community Corporation (FCCO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.18 - $149.02$85.90
Multi-Stage$38.49 - $42.05$40.24
Blended Fair Value$63.07
Current Price$28.22
Upside123.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.96%11.52%0.570.550.500.460.460.430.390.320.270.24
YoY Growth--4.25%8.23%8.91%0.56%8.08%9.00%22.64%16.82%15.49%23.52%
Dividend Yield--2.52%3.16%2.52%2.18%2.31%2.71%1.98%1.39%1.24%1.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.722.331.40
Cash Retained (M)13.9413.9413.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.72-2.33-1.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.2211.6212.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.777.777.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.321.491.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.321.491.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.922.102.22
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$56.18$85.90$149.02
Upside / Downside99.06%204.39%428.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.6119.8221.1022.4823.9425.4926.26
Payout Ratio25.08%38.06%51.05%64.03%77.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.677.5410.7714.3918.4422.9424.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6.856.916.98
Year 2 PV (M)8.889.059.22
Year 3 PV (M)10.7711.0811.40
Year 4 PV (M)12.5313.0113.51
Year 5 PV (M)14.1614.8515.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)245.84257.71270.04
Equity Value (M)299.03312.62326.70
Shares Outstanding (M)7.777.777.77
Fair Value$38.49$40.24$42.05
Upside / Downside36.38%42.58%49.00%

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