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Box, Inc. (BOX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.40 - $93.90$54.13
Multi-Stage$23.73 - $25.95$24.82
Blended Fair Value$39.47
Current Price$32.09
Upside23.01%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%20.83%0.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)226.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)211.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)45.3728.3517.01
Cash Retained (M)211.83211.83211.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-45.37-28.35-17.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)166.46183.48194.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)150.32150.32150.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.111.221.30
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.111.221.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.211.321.40
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$35.40$54.13$93.90
Upside / Downside10.31%68.67%192.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)226.83241.57257.28274.00291.81310.78320.10
Payout Ratio6.61%23.29%39.97%56.65%73.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.0056.26102.83155.21213.96279.70296.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)51.0951.5752.06
Year 2 PV (M)84.7886.3988.02
Year 3 PV (M)116.19119.53122.92
Year 4 PV (M)145.44151.03156.78
Year 5 PV (M)172.63180.97189.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,996.873,141.623,291.91
Equity Value (M)3,567.003,731.113,901.33
Shares Outstanding (M)150.32150.32150.32
Fair Value$23.73$24.82$25.95
Upside / Downside-26.05%-22.65%-19.12%

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