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Sarawak Plantation Berhad (5135.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.26 - $69.00$64.66
Multi-Stage$10.93 - $11.95$11.43
Blended Fair Value$38.05
Current Price$2.72
Upside1,298.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS37.97%0.00%0.250.150.200.100.050.050.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--66.66%-25.00%100.00%100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.78%6.94%9.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)96.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.3612.107.26
Cash Retained (M)41.0141.0141.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.36-12.10-7.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.6428.9133.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)279.03279.03279.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.300.32
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.26$64.66$69.00
Upside / Downside1,233.00%2,277.38%2,436.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)96.81103.11109.81116.95124.55132.64136.62
Payout Ratio57.64%64.11%70.59%77.06%83.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.8166.1177.5190.11104.03119.38126.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)61.6062.1862.77
Year 2 PV (M)67.3068.5869.88
Year 3 PV (M)72.9175.0177.14
Year 4 PV (M)78.4481.4584.56
Year 5 PV (M)83.8787.9292.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,684.312,813.962,948.58
Equity Value (M)3,048.433,189.113,335.05
Shares Outstanding (M)279.03279.03279.03
Fair Value$10.93$11.43$11.95
Upside / Downside301.66%320.19%339.42%

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