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Tikehau Capital (0RP0.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$110.41 - $334.12$313.12
Multi-Stage$46.32 - $50.64$48.44
Blended Fair Value$180.78
Current Price$18.96
Upside853.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS38.20%25.96%0.720.680.580.370.460.140.760.000.000.08
YoY Growth--6.66%16.62%55.90%-19.67%223.66%-81.10%15,535.42%0.00%-100.00%16.67%
Dividend Yield--3.53%3.29%2.40%1.60%1.81%0.65%3.86%0.02%0.00%0.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)303.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)200.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)102.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)60.7437.9722.78
Cash Retained (M)102.82102.82102.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-60.74-37.97-22.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.0864.8680.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)180.78180.78180.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.230.360.44
LTM Dividend per Share1.111.111.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.230.360.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.341.471.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.78%6.78%6.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$110.41$313.12$334.12
Upside / Downside482.34%1,551.47%1,662.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)303.72323.46344.49366.88390.73416.13428.61
Payout Ratio66.15%70.92%75.69%80.46%85.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)200.90229.39260.74295.19333.01374.51396.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.78%6.78%6.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)212.80214.82216.83
Year 2 PV (M)224.38228.66232.97
Year 3 PV (M)235.66242.42249.32
Year 4 PV (M)246.63256.11265.87
Year 5 PV (M)257.30269.73282.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,197.857,545.517,906.47
Equity Value (M)8,374.628,757.259,154.10
Shares Outstanding (M)180.78180.78180.78
Fair Value$46.32$48.44$50.64
Upside / Downside144.33%155.49%167.07%

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