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SF Urban Properties AG (0QN6.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.06 - $128.36$106.87
Multi-Stage$239.52 - $263.96$251.50
Blended Fair Value$179.18
Current Price$98.00
Upside82.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-27.93%-10.95%0.700.813.750.450.003.603.602.880.000.00
YoY Growth---13.85%-78.34%733.75%0.00%-100.00%0.00%24.99%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.71%0.87%4.21%0.45%0.00%3.65%4.19%3.03%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)38.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.614.752.85
Cash Retained (M)13.7313.7313.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.61-4.75-2.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.138.9810.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.353.353.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.832.683.25
LTM Dividend per Share7.257.257.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.832.683.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.089.9310.50
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate-3.83%-2.83%-1.83%
Fair Value$87.06$106.87$128.36
Upside / Downside-11.16%9.05%30.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)38.0336.9635.9134.8933.9032.9433.93
Payout Ratio63.89%69.11%74.34%79.56%84.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.3025.5426.6927.7628.7429.6531.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate-3.83%-2.83%-1.83%
Year 1 PV (M)23.8024.0524.30
Year 2 PV (M)23.1923.6724.16
Year 3 PV (M)22.4723.1823.90
Year 4 PV (M)21.6922.6023.55
Year 5 PV (M)20.8521.9523.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)690.89727.56765.78
Equity Value (M)802.88843.02884.80
Shares Outstanding (M)3.353.353.35
Fair Value$239.52$251.50$263.96
Upside / Downside144.41%156.63%169.35%

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