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HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. (0J2Z.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.38 - $138.95$80.10
Multi-Stage$37.63 - $41.01$39.29
Blended Fair Value$59.69
Current Price$30.70
Upside94.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.35%30.08%1.391.160.960.820.720.630.510.490.360.23
YoY Growth--20.33%20.87%16.46%13.66%15.58%21.72%4.04%37.90%56.63%127.86%
Dividend Yield--4.76%4.12%3.35%1.73%1.29%3.07%1.99%2.53%1.77%1.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)308.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)205.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)102.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)61.6838.5523.13
Cash Retained (M)102.68102.68102.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-61.68-38.55-23.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)41.0064.1379.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)138.11138.11138.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.460.58
LTM Dividend per Share1.491.491.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.460.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.791.952.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$52.38$80.10$138.95
Upside / Downside70.62%160.90%352.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)308.40328.45349.80372.53396.75422.54435.21
Payout Ratio66.70%71.36%76.02%80.68%85.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)205.72234.39265.93300.57338.59380.28402.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)212.83214.85216.86
Year 2 PV (M)219.25223.42227.64
Year 3 PV (M)225.01231.47238.05
Year 4 PV (M)230.15239.00248.11
Year 5 PV (M)234.71246.05257.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,074.624,271.434,475.76
Equity Value (M)5,196.575,426.225,664.24
Shares Outstanding (M)138.11138.11138.11
Fair Value$37.63$39.29$41.01
Upside / Downside22.56%27.98%33.59%

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