Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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ZJAMP Group Co., Ltd. (002758.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$63.67 - $166.09$155.65
Multi-Stage$23.87 - $26.11$24.97
Blended Fair Value$90.31
Current Price$8.89
Upside915.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS35.56%24.13%0.470.460.440.340.170.100.030.030.030.03
YoY Growth--3.68%2.91%30.69%104.07%60.87%221.57%9.09%-8.33%0.00%-41.00%
Dividend Yield--5.46%4.50%3.29%2.17%1.59%1.00%0.28%0.27%0.18%0.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)437.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)202.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)234.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)87.5154.6932.82
Cash Retained (M)234.96234.96234.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-87.51-54.69-32.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)147.45180.27202.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)523.92523.92523.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.280.340.39
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.280.340.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.670.730.77
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$63.67$155.65$166.09
Upside / Downside616.22%1,650.90%1,768.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)437.56466.00496.29528.55562.91599.49617.48
Payout Ratio46.30%55.04%63.78%72.52%81.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)202.60256.49316.54383.31457.42539.54571.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)238.34240.60242.86
Year 2 PV (M)273.31278.52283.78
Year 3 PV (M)307.54316.37325.36
Year 4 PV (M)341.02354.14367.63
Year 5 PV (M)373.78391.83410.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,969.7311,499.5812,049.70
Equity Value (M)12,503.7213,081.0313,679.89
Shares Outstanding (M)523.92523.92523.92
Fair Value$23.87$24.97$26.11
Upside / Downside168.46%180.85%193.71%

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