Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ZF Steering Gear (India) Limited (ZFSTEERING.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,915.24 - $2,256.47$2,114.65
Multi-Stage$1,547.96 - $1,698.87$1,622.01
Blended Fair Value$1,868.33
Current Price$1,016.95
Upside83.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS170.42%-0.23%7.755.090.000.090.090.059.409.360.0326.22
YoY Growth--52.21%0.00%-100.00%0.00%60.00%-99.43%0.44%34,828.00%-99.90%230.94%
Dividend Yield--0.66%0.44%0.00%0.02%0.02%0.02%1.87%0.89%0.00%1.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)105.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)35.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)70.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.1813.247.94
Cash Retained (M)70.1070.1070.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.18-13.24-7.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.9256.8662.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.339.339.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.246.096.66
LTM Dividend per Share3.843.843.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.246.096.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.089.9310.50
WACC / Discount Rate-1.19%-1.19%-1.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,915.24$2,114.65$2,256.47
Upside / Downside88.33%107.94%121.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)105.90112.78120.11127.92136.24145.09149.44
Payout Ratio33.81%45.04%56.28%67.52%78.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)35.8050.8067.6086.38107.30130.58138.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.19%-1.19%-1.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)50.9351.4251.90
Year 2 PV (M)67.9569.2470.55
Year 3 PV (M)87.0489.5492.08
Year 4 PV (M)108.40112.57116.86
Year 5 PV (M)132.26138.65145.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,001.3514,677.6215,379.78
Equity Value (M)14,447.9415,139.0515,856.45
Shares Outstanding (M)9.339.339.33
Fair Value$1,547.96$1,622.01$1,698.87
Upside / Downside52.22%59.50%67.06%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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