Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wilson Bayly Holmes-Ovcon Limited (WBO.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$283.07 - $403.83$342.38
Multi-Stage$443.48 - $486.73$464.69
Blended Fair Value$403.54
Current Price$184.65
Upside118.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS21.11%1.65%5.603.660.002.980.002.153.155.205.245.17
YoY Growth--52.71%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-31.71%-39.49%-0.81%1.29%8.86%
Dividend Yield--3.03%2.22%0.00%3.68%0.00%2.13%2.91%3.48%3.74%4.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,209.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)684.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,525.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)441.97276.23165.74
Cash Retained (M)1,525.651,525.651,525.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-441.97-276.23-165.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,083.681,249.421,359.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)52.9452.9452.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share20.4723.6025.69
LTM Dividend per Share12.9212.9212.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share20.4723.6025.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend33.4036.5338.61
WACC / Discount Rate9.56%9.56%9.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$283.07$342.38$403.83
Upside / Downside53.30%85.42%118.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,209.832,187.732,165.852,144.192,122.752,101.532,164.57
Payout Ratio30.96%42.77%54.58%66.38%78.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)684.18935.661,182.051,423.411,659.831,891.372,002.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.56%9.56%9.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)845.38854.00862.63
Year 2 PV (M)964.93984.731,004.72
Year 3 PV (M)1,049.841,082.311,115.44
Year 4 PV (M)1,106.081,151.931,199.18
Year 5 PV (M)1,138.761,198.061,259.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,371.3519,327.9920,324.07
Equity Value (M)23,476.3524,599.0125,765.84
Shares Outstanding (M)52.9452.9452.94
Fair Value$443.48$464.69$486.73
Upside / Downside140.18%151.66%163.60%

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