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Definitive Analysis

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Wacker Neuson SE (WAC.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.94 - $23.74$17.40
Multi-Stage$19.81 - $21.71$20.74
Blended Fair Value$19.07
Current Price$22.00
Upside-13.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.26%10.79%1.140.990.890.610.001.130.610.510.510.51
YoY Growth--15.00%11.11%46.76%0.00%-100.00%83.37%19.94%0.09%0.00%25.00%
Dividend Yield--5.47%5.82%4.62%2.99%0.00%11.21%2.79%1.82%2.43%3.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)61.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.267.664.60
Cash Retained (M)20.5020.5020.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.26-7.66-4.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.2412.8415.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)68.6268.6268.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.190.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.590.590.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.190.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.710.780.83
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate1.29%2.29%3.29%
Fair Value$12.94$17.40$23.74
Upside / Downside-41.19%-20.90%7.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)61.3062.7064.1465.6067.1168.6470.70
Payout Ratio66.56%71.25%75.93%80.62%85.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.8044.6748.7052.8957.2561.7865.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate1.29%2.29%3.29%
Year 1 PV (M)41.3941.8042.21
Year 2 PV (M)41.8042.6343.47
Year 3 PV (M)42.0643.3244.60
Year 4 PV (M)42.1843.8745.61
Year 5 PV (M)42.1744.2946.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,149.571,207.451,267.64
Equity Value (M)1,359.161,423.351,490.02
Shares Outstanding (M)68.6268.6268.62
Fair Value$19.81$20.74$21.71
Upside / Downside-9.97%-5.72%-1.30%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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