Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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The Tel-Aviv Stock Exchange Ltd. (TASE.TA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.74 - $15.22$12.95
Multi-Stage$16.42 - $18.01$17.19
Blended Fair Value$15.07
Current Price$76.39
Upside-80.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%2.890.000.240.200.090.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%23.22%110.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.61%0.00%1.53%1.19%0.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)154.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)104.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.9519.3411.61
Cash Retained (M)104.05104.05104.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.95-19.34-11.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)73.1084.7092.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)94.5194.5194.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.770.900.98
LTM Dividend per Share0.540.540.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.770.900.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.311.431.51
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10.74$12.95$15.22
Upside / Downside-85.94%-83.04%-80.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)154.75153.20151.67150.15148.65147.16151.58
Payout Ratio32.76%44.21%55.66%67.10%78.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.7067.7384.41100.76116.77132.44140.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)60.9861.6062.22
Year 2 PV (M)68.4269.8371.24
Year 3 PV (M)73.5375.8078.12
Year 4 PV (M)76.7279.9083.18
Year 5 PV (M)78.3582.4386.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,193.371,255.511,320.21
Equity Value (M)1,551.361,625.061,701.65
Shares Outstanding (M)94.5194.5194.51
Fair Value$16.42$17.19$18.01
Upside / Downside-78.51%-77.49%-76.43%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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