Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Softronic AB (publ) (SOF-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.11 - $26.13$20.60
Multi-Stage$17.13 - $18.77$17.93
Blended Fair Value$19.27
Current Price$23.70
Upside-18.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.19%11.61%1.351.001.353.000.001.000.750.500.500.45
YoY Growth--35.00%-25.93%-55.00%0.00%-100.00%33.33%50.00%0.00%11.11%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.92%3.83%6.44%11.65%0.00%7.16%4.49%3.40%5.78%5.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)75.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)75.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.129.455.67
Cash Retained (M)75.5575.5575.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.12-9.45-5.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)60.4366.1069.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)52.6352.6352.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.151.261.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.151.261.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.151.261.33
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate2.56%3.56%4.56%
Fair Value$16.11$20.60$26.13
Upside / Downside-32.04%-13.06%10.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)75.6078.2981.0883.9686.9590.0592.75
Payout Ratio0.06%18.05%36.04%54.02%72.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.0514.1329.2245.3662.6281.0485.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate2.56%3.56%4.56%
Year 1 PV (M)12.7412.8612.98
Year 2 PV (M)23.7424.2024.67
Year 3 PV (M)33.2134.2035.20
Year 4 PV (M)41.3242.9644.64
Year 5 PV (M)48.2150.6053.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)742.16779.06817.40
Equity Value (M)901.38943.88987.99
Shares Outstanding (M)52.6352.6352.63
Fair Value$17.13$17.93$18.77
Upside / Downside-27.74%-24.33%-20.80%

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