Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Selçuk Ecza Deposu Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S. (SELEC.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$103.12 - $280.30$262.68
Multi-Stage$39.37 - $43.09$41.19
Blended Fair Value$151.94
Current Price$79.95
Upside90.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.91%18.65%0.300.360.500.170.170.100.100.080.070.06
YoY Growth---14.97%-28.49%194.12%0.00%70.00%0.00%20.48%21.28%12.19%10.91%
Dividend Yield--0.48%0.71%1.57%1.40%1.62%1.34%2.61%2.23%2.05%2.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)875.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)285.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)589.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)175.05109.4165.64
Cash Retained (M)589.27589.27589.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-175.05-109.41-65.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)414.22479.86523.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)621.00621.00621.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.670.770.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.460.460.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.670.770.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.131.231.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$103.12$262.68$280.30
Upside / Downside28.98%228.56%250.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)875.25932.14992.731,057.261,125.981,199.171,235.14
Payout Ratio32.67%44.14%55.60%67.07%78.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)285.98411.44552.01709.10884.291,079.251,142.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)382.15385.78389.40
Year 2 PV (M)476.21485.28494.44
Year 3 PV (M)568.19584.50601.12
Year 4 PV (M)658.12683.43709.46
Year 5 PV (M)746.04782.07819.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,616.3222,660.4023,744.43
Equity Value (M)24,447.0325,581.4526,758.33
Shares Outstanding (M)621.00621.00621.00
Fair Value$39.37$41.19$43.09
Upside / Downside-50.76%-48.48%-46.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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