Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Rubfila International Limited (RUBFILA.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - SpecialtiesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$901.86 - $1,062.55$995.76
Multi-Stage$188.12 - $206.12$196.95
Blended Fair Value$596.36
Current Price$85.87
Upside594.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.73%9.65%1.201.201.751.301.091.051.000.720.480.60
YoY Growth--0.00%-31.43%34.61%18.85%4.28%4.42%39.73%50.00%-19.76%25.00%
Dividend Yield--1.40%1.47%2.38%1.66%1.16%3.00%2.63%1.11%0.70%1.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)290.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)224.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58.0036.2521.75
Cash Retained (M)224.89224.89224.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-58.00-36.25-21.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)166.89188.64203.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)54.2854.2854.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.073.483.74
LTM Dividend per Share1.201.201.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.073.483.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.274.674.94
WACC / Discount Rate5.91%5.91%5.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$901.86$995.76$1,062.55
Upside / Downside950.26%1,059.61%1,137.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)290.02308.87328.94350.32373.09397.35409.27
Payout Ratio22.45%35.96%49.47%62.98%76.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65.12111.08162.74220.64285.38357.61378.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.91%5.91%5.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)103.90104.88105.86
Year 2 PV (M)142.37145.08147.82
Year 3 PV (M)180.54185.72191.00
Year 4 PV (M)218.41226.81235.45
Year 5 PV (M)255.99268.36281.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,310.449,760.1410,227.05
Equity Value (M)10,211.6510,690.9911,188.38
Shares Outstanding (M)54.2854.2854.28
Fair Value$188.12$196.95$206.12
Upside / Downside119.08%129.36%140.03%

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