Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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NKT A/S (NKT.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$60.31 - $110.01$80.92
Multi-Stage$52.40 - $57.33$54.82
Blended Fair Value$67.87
Current Price$68.64
Upside-1.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.31%-0.18%0.200.170.130.150.150.150.000.000.240.24
YoY Growth--20.88%22.97%-8.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.77%16.07%
Dividend Yield--0.32%0.22%0.28%0.36%0.40%1.03%0.00%0.00%0.70%0.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)224.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)213.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.8028.0016.80
Cash Retained (M)213.00213.00213.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.80-28.00-16.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)168.20185.00196.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)54.8554.8554.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.073.373.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.073.373.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.273.573.78
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate4.31%5.31%6.31%
Fair Value$60.31$80.92$110.01
Upside / Downside-12.13%17.89%60.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)224.00235.90248.43261.63275.52290.16298.86
Payout Ratio4.91%21.93%38.95%55.96%72.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.0051.7396.75146.42201.08261.14276.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate4.31%5.31%6.31%
Year 1 PV (M)46.6047.0447.49
Year 2 PV (M)78.5080.0281.54
Year 3 PV (M)107.01110.12113.28
Year 4 PV (M)132.38137.53142.83
Year 5 PV (M)154.86162.42170.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,354.512,469.552,589.05
Equity Value (M)2,873.853,006.683,144.48
Shares Outstanding (M)54.8554.8554.85
Fair Value$52.40$54.82$57.33
Upside / Downside-23.66%-20.13%-16.47%

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