Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

National Industries Group Holding - KPSC (NIND.KW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.67 - $1.88$1.04
Multi-Stage$0.61 - $0.66$0.63
Blended Fair Value$0.84
Current Price$0.26
Upside229.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.84%77.84%0.000.000.010.000.010.010.000.000.010.01
YoY Growth--5.91%-54.54%0.00%-100.00%-13.68%27.47%2,754.61%-96.94%-7.93%41,638.89%
Dividend Yield--1.90%2.23%5.50%0.00%4.17%5.95%3.82%0.19%6.25%7.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)67.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)44.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.588.495.09
Cash Retained (M)44.1944.1944.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.58-8.49-5.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.6235.7139.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,430.642,430.642,430.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.020.020.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.34%7.34%7.34%
Growth Rate3.88%4.88%5.88%
Fair Value$0.67$1.04$1.88
Upside / Downside163.37%309.24%636.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)67.8971.2074.6878.3282.1486.1588.74
Payout Ratio34.90%45.92%56.94%67.96%78.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.6932.7042.5253.2364.8877.5482.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.34%7.34%7.34%
Growth Rate3.88%4.88%5.88%
Year 1 PV (M)30.1730.4630.75
Year 2 PV (M)36.2136.9137.61
Year 3 PV (M)41.8243.0444.28
Year 4 PV (M)47.0448.8850.77
Year 5 PV (M)51.8854.4257.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,266.351,328.491,393.04
Equity Value (M)1,473.471,542.201,613.52
Shares Outstanding (M)2,430.642,430.642,430.64
Fair Value$0.61$0.63$0.66
Upside / Downside137.73%148.82%160.32%

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