Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Dayamitra Telekomunikasi Tbk. (MTEL.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,897.50 - $5,193.79$4,867.34
Multi-Stage$747.09 - $816.62$781.22
Blended Fair Value$2,824.28
Current Price$555.00
Upside408.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS75.67%0.00%18.4121.6211.8226.691.261.101.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---14.88%82.89%-55.70%2,013.09%14.78%10.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.26%3.52%1.68%3.47%0.17%0.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,134,366.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,504,281.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)630,085.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)426,873.20266,795.75160,077.45
Cash Retained (M)630,085.00630,085.00630,085.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-426,873.20-266,795.75-160,077.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)203,211.80363,289.25470,007.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)81,726.8981,726.8981,726.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.494.455.75
LTM Dividend per Share18.4118.4118.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.494.455.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend20.8922.8524.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,897.50$4,867.34$5,193.79
Upside / Downside241.89%777.00%835.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,134,366.002,273,099.792,420,851.282,578,206.612,745,790.042,924,266.393,011,994.38
Payout Ratio70.48%74.38%78.29%82.19%86.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,504,281.001,690,805.371,895,222.332,119,069.842,364,010.212,631,839.752,786,094.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,570,320.421,585,204.981,600,089.53
Year 2 PV (M)1,634,742.991,665,880.251,697,311.26
Year 3 PV (M)1,697,576.081,746,307.391,795,962.49
Year 4 PV (M)1,758,846.681,826,486.961,896,059.68
Year 5 PV (M)1,818,581.371,906,419.541,997,619.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)52,576,953.7655,116,440.2957,753,118.94
Equity Value (M)61,057,021.3163,846,739.4066,740,161.37
Shares Outstanding (M)81,726.8981,726.8981,726.89
Fair Value$747.09$781.22$816.62
Upside / Downside34.61%40.76%47.14%

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