Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Mpact Limited (MPT.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.14 - $146.90$113.27
Multi-Stage$100.66 - $110.18$105.33
Blended Fair Value$109.30
Current Price$25.50
Upside328.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.39%2.68%1.051.190.890.000.490.850.320.310.520.51
YoY Growth---11.82%33.94%0.00%-100.00%-42.41%168.09%0.43%-39.22%0.92%-36.36%
Dividend Yield--3.55%4.00%3.05%0.00%3.52%5.69%1.50%1.29%1.83%1.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,045.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)332.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)712.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)209.12130.7078.42
Cash Retained (M)712.80712.80712.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-209.12-130.70-78.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)503.68582.10634.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)147.80147.80147.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.413.944.29
LTM Dividend per Share2.252.252.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.413.944.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.666.196.54
WACC / Discount Rate9.04%9.04%9.04%
Growth Rate2.39%3.39%4.39%
Fair Value$87.14$113.27$146.90
Upside / Downside241.71%344.19%476.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,045.601,081.041,117.691,155.571,194.741,235.241,272.30
Payout Ratio31.83%43.46%55.10%66.73%78.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)332.80469.85615.81771.13936.271,111.721,176.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.04%9.04%9.04%
Growth Rate2.39%3.39%4.39%
Year 1 PV (M)426.73430.90435.07
Year 2 PV (M)507.97517.94528.01
Year 3 PV (M)577.71594.80612.23
Year 4 PV (M)637.05662.30688.30
Year 5 PV (M)687.01721.22756.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,041.1012,640.7013,263.95
Equity Value (M)14,877.5615,567.8616,284.33
Shares Outstanding (M)147.80147.80147.80
Fair Value$100.66$105.33$110.18
Upside / Downside294.74%313.06%332.07%

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